Our topic is "Macroeconomic Indicators and The Performance of Malaysian Stock Market". Basically, we are trying to find how macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, Bank Lending Rate, Inflation Rate, Exchange Rate, Crude Oil Price and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) affects the Malaysian stock market index (in this case, FBM KLCI)
Hence, we have 6 independent variables which are GDP, Bank Lending Rate, Inflation Rate, Exchange Rate, Crude Oil Price, and FDI. We have one dependent variable, which is FBM KLCI Index (the Malaysian stock market index).
We already have the data. The outline of the project is as follow:
1. Abstract - around 300 words. The gist of the paper.
2. Introduction - Brief discussion on the topic under study and the expected conclusion. We expect GDP, Exchange Rate, Crude Oil Price and FDI to have a positive relationship with FBM KLCI (when the independent variable increase so does the dependent variable and vice versa). On the contrary, we expect Inflation Rate and Bank Lending Rate to have a negative relationship with FBM KLCI (when the independent variable increase, the dependent variable decrease).
3. Literature Review - A write-up on previous work done by other researchers. In this section, appreciate it if you guys could use at least 5 up-to-date reference.
4. Estimate of the model
- First, estimate the formulated model and detect the statistical problems such as multicollinearity that our model has.
- Second, correct the problem by reformulating the regression model or whatever you think best.
- Third, then analyze the result of the final (or the best) regression model by performing:
i) Test of significance on the individual regression estimates and performing the overall test of significance.
ii) Interpreting the coefficient estimates and the coefficient determination.
5. Summary and Conclusion.
6. Reference - at least 5 up-to-date references.
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