1. The labor supply of married women has been a subject of a great deal of economic research. Given the data on women who worked in the previous year and those who have not, several models have been estimated. The variable indicating whether a woman worked is LFP=Labor Force Participation, which takes the value 1 if a woman worked and 0 if she did not.
(a) Consider the following supply equation specification:
HOURS = β1+β2ln(wage)+β2educ+β4age+β5kidsl6+β6kids618+β7nwifeinc+µ What sign do you expect each of the coefficients to have, and why?
(b) The variable nwifeinc=non-wife income is defined as nwifeinc = faminc − wage ∗ hours
The summary statistics for the variables: wife’s age, number of children less than 6 years old in the household, and the family income for the women who worked (LFP=1) and those who did not work (LFP=0) are provided in the table. Comment on any differences you observe.
|
MEAN |
Standard |
Deviation |
|
Variable |
LFP=1 |
LFP=0 |
LFP=1 LFP=0 age |
|
41.97 |
43.28 7.72 |
8.47 kidsl6 |
0.14 |
|
0.37 |
0.39 0.64 |
faminc |
24130 |
|
21698 11 |
671 12728 |
|
|
|
(c) NWIFEINC and ln(WAGE) variables in part (a) are endogenous. Can the HOURS equation be estimated satisfactory using the
(d) Table 1 provides the results of the least squares regression on only the women who worked (LFP=1). Did things come out as expected? If not, why?
TABLE 1
Dependent variable: HOURS Included observations: 428
Intercept |
2114.69 |
340.13 |
6.22 |
0.000 |
lnwage |
-17.41 |
54.22 |
-0.32 |
0.75 |
educ |
-14.44 |
17.96 |
-0.80 |
0.42 |
age |
-7.73 |
5.53 |
-1.40 |
0.16 |
kidsl6 |
-342.51 |
100.01 |
-3.43 |
0.000 |
kids618 |
-115.02 |
30.83 |
-3.73 |
0.000 |
nwifeinc |
-0.01 |
0.01 |
-1.16 |
0.25 |
Dependent variable: LNWAGE
Included observations: |
428 |
|
|||
|
|
Coef. |
Std.Err. |
z P > |z| |
|
Intercept |
|
-0.357 |
0.31 |
-1.13 |
0.26 |
educ |
|
0.099 |
0.015 |
6.615 |
0.00 |
age |
|
-0.001 |
0.005 |
-0.650 |
0.52 |
kidsl6 |
|
-0.056 |
0.088 |
-0.631 |
0.53 |
kids618 |
|
-0.0176 |
0.027 |
-0.633 |
0.53 |
nwifeinc |
|
-5.69E-06 |
3.32E-06 |
1.715 |
0.08 |
exper |
|
0.0407 |
0.013 |
3.044 |
0.00 |
exper2 |
|
0.001 |
0.011 |
-1.860 |
0.06 |
(f) Is the supply equation in part (a) identified? Name the instrumental variable if any.
(g) Two-stage least squares estimation of the supply equation is provided in Table
3. Discuss the sign and significance of the estimated parameters.
TABLE 3
Dependent variable: HOURS Included observations: 428
Intercept |
2432.198 |
594.17 |
4.093 |
0.000 |
lnwage |
1544.818 |
480.7387 |
3.213 |
0.004 |
educ |
-177.449 |
58.142 |
-3.0519 |
0.002 |
age |
-10.784 |
9.577 |
-1.126 |
0.260 |
kidsl6 |
-210.834 |
176.934 |
-1.192 |
0.234 |
kids618 |
-47.557 |
53.917 |
-0.835 |
0.404 |
nwifeinc |
-0.001 |
0.006 |
-1.427 |
0.154 |
2. It is common for companies to spend money and time on employee training pro- grams to improve productivity in the workplace. A company is interested in an- alyzing the effect of a training program on employees’ productivity. Data from a random sample of 10,000 workers ages 18 and older were collected and a regression
PRODUCT IV IT Y = Xβ + αT RAINING + µ
was estimated, where X is a matrix of socio-demographic characteristics, and TRAINING is a dummy variable that is equal to 1 if the person participated in the training program and is equal to zero otherwise. TRAINING can depend on many factors and one of them could be whether a company received a job training grant to help subsidize the cost of the training, therefore
T RANING = Zγ + θGRANT + .
Here Z is a matrix of firm related factors and GRANT=1 if company received a training grant and =0 otherwise.
(a) In estimating the PRODUCTIVITY equation the variable TRAINING can potentially be endogenous. Why using OLS can fail in estimating this regres- sion model? Explain.
(b) Propose an estimation method that will help resolve this endogeneity problem. Describe the estimation method in detail.
(c) Is the PRODUCTIVITY equation identified? If so why? Is it exact, under or over-identified?
(d) Now suppose that you only observe the positive level of productivity for those employees who did the training and zero for those who did not do the training. Discuss and name the model you will use in estimating PRODUCTIVITY equation. What will happen if you use OLS to estimate this model? Is endogeneity of TRANING is still a problem? If so, how can it be fixed?
(e) What will happen if you only select positive levels of productivity and esti- mate the model? Explain.
3. In general, the two-stage least squares estimation (2SLS) procedure can be used to estimate the parameters of any identified equation within a simultaneous equation system. In a system of M simultaneous equations let y1, y2, y3, ..., yn be the en- dogenous variables. Let k be the number of exogenous variables: x1, x2, x3, ..., xk. Suppose the first equation is: y1 = α2y2 + α3y3 + β1x1 + β2x2 + µ1
(a) Describe the steps of 2SLS estimation method in detail, so a researcher who is reading your answer can easily follow the steps you described and estimate the model.
(b) What is an Instrumental Variable(IV)? Be specific.
4. Write the following models in terms of a latent variable, comment on how to interpret the results of each model and give examples.
(a) Probit
(b) Multinomial Logit
(c) Conditional Logit
(d) Ordered Probit
(e) Tobit
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