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In the lecture, we discussed a geometric argument for the normal equations we solve to get the least squares estimator

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Normal equations

1. (12 points) In the lecture, we discussed a geometric argument for the normal equations we solve to get the least squares estimator θˆ:

X⊤(Y − Xθ) = 0.

Here, we are using X to denote the design matrix:

where 1n is the n-vector of all 1s and Xj is the n-vector [x1,j, . . . , xn,j]⊤ holding all observations of the jth variable. We use Y to denote the response vector as an n 1 matrix (note that there would be nothing wrong with writing y Xθ, we would just interpret the vector y as a length-n column vector, which is the same as an n    1 matrix).

The normal equations are the estimating equations for OLS, i.e. (multiple) linear regres- sion under the least squares loss. As we discussed in class, while there can be multiple values of θ ∈ Rp+1 that satisfy these equations, there is always at least one solution.

To build intuition for these equations and relate them to the SLR estimating equations, we will derive them mathematically in several ways.

(a) (2 points) Show that finding the optimal estimator θˆ by solving the normal equa- tions is equivalent to requiring that the residual vector e = Y − Xθˆ should average to zero, and should be orthogonal to Xj (i.e., should have zero dot product with Xj) for every j, that is, show that

Use calculus to show that any θ = [θ0, θ1, ..., θp]⊤ that minimizes the MSE must solve the normal equations.

Hint: remember that, at a minimum of MSE, the partial derivatives of MSE with respect to every θi must all be zero.

 

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