1. Using the payoff table below select the best decision option using each of the following decision criteria (use tables as necessary to present your approach):
Decision Alternatives |
States of Nature |
|||
S1 |
S2 |
S3 |
S4 |
|
Decision 1 |
3,500 |
2,000 |
2,000 |
- 3,000 |
Decision 2 |
10,000 |
3,000 |
3,500 |
-6,000 |
Decision 3 |
8,000 |
4,000 |
2,000 |
-3,500 |
Probability of each state of nature |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
a) maximin decision criterion
b) Savage criterion ( minimax regret)
c) Expected Monetary Value criterion
2. In your own words provide a comparative critical evaluation of these three decision criteria in no more than 300 words.
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