Part 1 – Data Analytics – Azure Task (40 points)
1. Congratulations! You landed your dream job as a top manager in BestCars, one of the largest car companies in the world. Your first task is to predict your company monthly sales in different markets (different countries). Your data include attributes about the country, and date and online activity data. Below is the description of the attributes:
Variable Description
Year Year of sales
Month Month of sales
new.site Indicator if a new website was used
country Country of sales
language Website language
Sales Total monthly sales
WebVisits Number of monthly visits to the website
KPI1 Monthly KPI 1 count
KPI2 Monthly KPI 2 count
KPI3 Monthly KPI 3 count
KPI4 Monthly KPI 4 count
avg_trends Google trends data
sum_local_wiki_visits Wikipedia total monthly visits
avg_local_wiki_visits Wikipedia average monthly visits
Your goal is to build a model to predict the Sales variable.
Your dataset is the file Sales_kpis_data.csv located in the “Final Assignment Datasets” folder.
The file includes 348 rows on monthly data from 9 countries.
a. Test different models (25 points):
i. Run different prediction models in Azure ML, for each model, describe the data preparation, the model you run (provide print screens), the different input parameters, and show the out-of-sample accuracy of your models?
ii. Which model will you implement for predicting sales?
b. Feature Selection (15 points)
Run additional prediction model that includes the feature selection option in Azure ML. The goal is to improve the accuracy of your model compared to the previous results (1a). Describe the model and explain:
i. How did you choose the number of features?
ii. Which methods did you use?
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