Provide a broader discussion of how the bilateral relationship you choose currently operates as a trading relationship. Address key aspects including:
financial conditions , reflected in net exchange rates, interest rates, spot and forward ex- change rates, foreign direct investment, movements in official reserves, the relative proportion of each nation’s bonds and stocks, etc in domestic investors’ portfolios.
economic conditions , reflected in relative movements in the three sections of the bal- ance of payments and savings and investment, exports and imports.
social & political conditions , reflected in government policies, political lobbying, party platforms, immigration, signs of economic inequality, distress.
Examine the relative price level movements and inflation rates in your two chosen States and draw implications for the exchange rate between the two states. Have ex- change rate movements obeyed that implied by purchasing power parity and relative purchasing parity? If so how? If not why not?
How have relative movements in interest rates in your two chosen states affected the exchange rate set between them. Have exchange rate movements followed that implied by covered/uncovered interest rate parity? If so, how so? If not, why not?
Having considered the pattern of globalisation as experienced by your chosen nations give some advice to both nations on how the discontents or tensions, that the trading re- lation brings can be managed bilaterally, or as part of a broader multilateral relationship, like the GATT, WTO, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), etc.
Give guidance to your two States representatives in easing, maybe even reducing, these tensions over time. How can they have the benefits of global engagement without being overwhelmed by unacceptable costs?
For example in the US Presidential candidates seem to compete in saying nasty things about China. President Erdogan makes ever more angry speeches about the EU. Why are these men so upset? We might ask how these global imbalances might be balanced to deter economic conflict, tarrifs, confiscation by the State, or even worse military conflict? How have multinational bodies, the EU, UN, IMF, World Bank, etc, tried to monitor these conflicts?
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