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Create a scatter plot: LIFEEXP vs FERTILITY. Are there any outliers or high leverage points? Comment on the plot.

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS

 

1.      1) Show that Total SS = Error SS + Regression SS. You can find the equations for SST, SSR, SSE on page 9 of the Chapter 2 slide.        

 2) Show that the average residual from a simple linear regression ei / n = 0. (ei = yi – yhati)“UNLifeExpectancy.csv” contains health care systems from n = 133 countries throughout the worldDependent VariableLIFEEXP: the life expectancy at birth in yearsIndependent Variables

 REGION: Categorical variable for region of the world

 COUNTRY: The name of the country

 ILLITERATE:  Adult illiteracy rate, % aged 15 and older

 POP: 2005 population, in millions

 FERTILITY:  Total fertility rate, births per woman

 PRIVATEHEALTH:  2004 Private expenditure on health, % of GDP

 PUBLICEDUCATION: Public expenditure on education, % of GDP

 HEALTHEXPEND:  2004 Health expenditure per capita, PPP in USD

 BIRTHATTEND: Births attended by skilled health personnel (%)

 PHYSICIAN: Physicians per 100,000 people

  2.      Answer the following questions 

1)     Create a histogram and a qqplot (normality plot) of LIFEEXP.

 2)     Create a histogram and a qqplot (normality plot) of ln(LIFEEXP).

 3)     Calculate the correlation between LIFEEXP and FERTILITY. Do these variables appear highly correlated?

 4)     Create a scatter plot: LIFEEXP vs FERTILITY. Are there any outliers or high leverage points? Comment on the plot.

 5)     Fit a simple linear regression modeling using LIFEEXP as the outcome variable and FERTILITY as the explanatory variable. Summarize the intercept and the coefficient.

  6)     What is the coefficient of determination, R2, and the interpretation?

 7)     Conduct hypothesis testing for following two cases. Use alpha = 0.05. Report the test statistic, p-value, and the conclusion.

 i)    Test H0: b1 = 0 vs Ha: b1 0

ii)   Test H0: b1 = -5 vs Ha: b1 -5

 8)     Provide 95% confidence interval for b1

 9)     Predict value when FERTILITY = 1.7.

 10) Calculate the residual ei when FERTILITY = 1.7.

 11) Construct 95% prediction interval when FERTILITY = 1.7.      

  3.      We will continue to work with UNLifeExpectancy.csv 

1)     Fit a basic linear regression modeling using LIFEEXP as the outcome variable and FERTILITY, PRIVATEHEALTH, PUBLICEDUCATION, HEALTHEXPEND, BIRTHATTEND, PHYSICIAN as explanatory variables. Summarize the estimate of the intercept and slopes for the regression model. 

2)     What is the coefficient of determination R2 and its adjusted version Ra2 

3)     Interpret the value of the coefficient (FERTILITY) 

4)     Interpret the value of the intercept b0 

5)     Find ANOVA table. (SSR in one row) What is the p-value? What is the null and alternative of ANOVA F-test? State the conclusion. 

6)     Find the covariance matrix: s2(X’X)-1 

7)     Fit a more parsimonious model, using LIFEEXP as the dependent variable and FERTILITY, HEALTHEXPEND, and BIRTHATTEND as explanatory variables. Summarize the estimate of the intercept and slopes for the regression model. 

8)     What is the coefficient of determination R2 and its adjusted version Ra2 

9)     Compare the result #8 to 2). What do you find?

 

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