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What is the identification condition? how many exogenous variables must be excluded for the above equation to be identified

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS

Q1.Assume that we have the following structural model,y1t =   11y2t + 12y3t + 13y4t + β11x1t + β12x2t + o1t 

a.    What is the identification condition - how many exogenous variables must be excluded for the above equation to be identified (assuming that the equation is exactly identified)?

b.    What is/are the first stage regressions? ( assume the excluded exogenous are x4t etc. and proceed). 

c.     What is/are the second stage regressions, (please explain and demonstrate why 2SLS estimates are consistent). 

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 Q2. The linear regression model in vector form is given as,y1 = Y1 1 + X1β + o1 = Z161 + o1 where y1 is a T × 1, Y1 is a T × g1 , 1 is a g1 × 1, X1 is a T × k1, β is a k × 1 and o1 is a T × 1). Let X2  be a T × k2, matrix that represents the excluded exogenous variables which appear in the other equations in the system.

Let X = [X1, X2], Z1 = [Y1, X1] and 61 = ( 1, β1). The 2SLS estimator is given as, 61,2sls =

(Zr PXZ1)—1Zr PXy1 where PX = X(Xr X)—1Xr .

a.    Suppose the model is just identified show that the above estimator reduces to ^61,2sls = (Xr Z1)—1Xr y1

b.     Given the information in part "a", let W be a set of instruments and suppose W = X what can we conclude about 2SLS and the simple IV estimator when the model is just identified? 

c.    Explain how to conduct a Hausman's specification test. Discuss the properties of the estimators, H0,

H1, the level of significance, the test statistics, the distribution of the test statistics and the conclusion.

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 Q3. Assume the following model,  yt = βxt + ot, for t = 1,............ , T  assume that xt is endogenous and you find an instrument rt. The first stage regression is,

 xt = çrt + ut, for t = 1,....... , T

Assume that  N (0, σ2) and u iid N (0, σ2 ). Assume that the instrumental variable is irrelevant (using an F-test we cannot reject the null that ç = 0).

 a.    Derive β^iv  (note  you  must  show  the  derivation)

b.    Is β^iv  consistent, show it?

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