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data represents the Net Profit in 10,000 AED for Dubai Auto Company from year 2015 to 2019

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS

Quiz 

Q1: The following data represents the Net Profit in 10,000 AED for Dubai Auto Company from the year 2015 to 2019. Forecast year 2020 using the adjusted exponential method, assuming that F1 = A1-100 & T1 =5, and α = 0.2 & β = 0.4. Calculate your forecasting error.

2015

2016

2017

2017

2018

2019

500

450

600

750

700

650

 

 

 

 

Q2: The following data represents the records for electrical contractors during the last 10 weeks that indicate the sold number of units for one of their products. Forecast the demand for the coming two weeks by using

a)     Weighted three moving average (weights are 8,4,2).

b)    Exponential smoothing with α = 0.6 (F1 = 90% of A1)

c)     Calculate the forecasting error for the two methods.

W1

W2

W3

W4

W5

W6

W7

W8

W9

W10

50

45

60

75

70

60

65

70

50

55

 

 

 

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