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Imagine you are working for a political candidate who needs your help preparing for a debate.

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
ANSWER ALL QUESTIONS

Data File:

* historic_temp.csv contains temperature measurements from 1858 to 2005 from various weather stations around the world. Data contains avg, max, and min, temp recorded monthly by the stations. Data comes from different original sources and has some missing data (and of course, much fewer measurements in the 19th century than in the 20th and 21st). 

* README-historic_temp.txt has a more detailed description of the data set.

Imagine you are working for a political candidate who needs your help preparing for a debate. Using the attached data (also available in the Sakai/Resources/Assignments folder), provide data-based arguments to the following positions:

A) If your last name begins with A-L:   “Global warming is real”

B) If your last name begins with  M-Z:  “Global warming is not real”

You should use two of the following techniques discussed in class to support your arguments:

- hypothesis testing using z-scores and P-values

- hypothesis testing using the Permutation test

- p-hacking  (test various variables and sample sizes)

- Bonferroni correction

Use the R commands, functions, and plots we discussed in class. 

Think of what opponents of your position would argue, and how you would counter their arguments.

Your submission should include:

- a ppt file presenting your arguments and results. You should present at least 2 data-supported “talking points”

- your R code in a R file

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Attachments:

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